treatment of malaria’ Malaria Journal, 2011.) Более подробно этичность экспериментов на людях мы рассмотрим в главе 7.
Bhattacharya S. et al., ‘Ronald Ross: Known scientist, unknown man’, Science and Culture, 2010.
Chernin E., ‘Sir Ronald Ross vs. Sir Patrick Manson: A Matter of Libel’, Journal of the History of Medicine and Allied Sciences, 1988.
Manson-Bahr P., History Of The School Of Tropical Medicine In London, 1899–1949 (London, 1956).
Reiter P., ‘From Shakespeare to Defoe: Malaria in England in the Little Ice Age’, Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2000.
High R., ‘The Panama Canal – the American Canal Construction’, International Construction, October 2008.
Griffing S.M. et al., ‘A historical perspective on malaria control in Brazil’, Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, 2015.
Jorland G. et al., Body Counts: Medical Quantification in Historical and Sociological Perspectives (McGill-Queen’s University Press, 2005).
Fine P.E.M., ‘John Brownlee and the Measurement of Infectiousness: An Historical Study in Epidemic Theory’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 1979.
Fine P.E.M., ‘Ross’s a priori Pathometry – a Perspective’, Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine, 1975.
Ross R., ‘The Mathematics of Malaria’, The British Medical Journal, 1911.
Reiter P., ‘From Shakespeare to Defoe: Malaria in England in the Little Ice Age’, Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2000.
Биографические данные Маккендрика взяты из Gani J., ‘Anderson Gray McKendrick’, StatProb: The Encyclopedia Sponsored by Statistics and Probability Societies.
Письмо GB 0809 Ross/106/28/60. Courtesy, Library & Archives Service, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. © Ross Family.
Письмо GB 0809 Ross/106/28/112. Courtesy, Library & Archives Service, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. © Ross Family.
Heesterbeek J.A., ‘A Brief History of R0 and a Recipe for its Calculation’, Acta Biotheoretica, 2002.
Биографические данные Кермака взяты из Davidson J.N., ‘William Ogilvy Kermack’, Biographical Memoirs of Fellows of the Royal Society, 1971; Coutinho S.C., ‘A lost chapter in the pre-history of algebraic analysis: Whittaker on contact transformations’, Archive for History of Exact Sciences, 2010.
Kermack W.O. and McKendrick A.G., ‘A Contribution to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics’, Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 1927.
Fine P.E.M., ‘Herd Immunity: History, Theory, Practice’, Epidemiologic Reviews, 1993; Farewell V. and Johnson T., ‘Major Greenwood (1880–1949): a biographical and bibliographical study’, Statistics in Medicine, 2015.
Dudley S.F., ‘Herds and Individuals’, Public Health, 1928.
Hendrix K.S. et al., ‘Ethics and Childhood Vaccination Policy in the United States’, American Journal of Public Health, 2016.
Fine P.E.M., ‘Herd Immunity: History, Theory, Practice’, Epidemiologic Reviews, 1993.
Duffy M.R. et al., ‘Zika Virus Outbreak on Yap Island, Federated States of Micronesia’ NEJM, 2009.
Mallet H.-P. et al., ‘Bilan de l’épidémie à virus Zika survenue en Polynésie française, 2013–2014’, Bulletin d’information sanitaires, épidémiologiques et statistiques, 2015.
Cao-Lormeau V.M. et al., ‘Guillain-Barré Syndrome outbreak associated with Zika virus infection in French Polynesia: a casecontrol study’, The Lancet, 2016.
Stoddard S.T. et al., ‘House-to-house human movement drives dengue virus transmission’, PNAS, 2012.
Kucharski A.J. et al., ‘Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus in Island Populations: A Modelling Analysis of the 2013–2014 French Polynesia Outbreak’, PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2016.
Faria N.R. et al., ‘Zika virus in the Americas: Early epidemiological and genetic findings’, Science, 2016.
Andronico A. et al., ‘Real-Time Assessment of Health-Care Requirements During the Zika Virus Epidemic in Martinique’, American Journal of Epidemiology, 2017.
Rozé B. et al., ‘Guillain-Barré Syndrome Associated With Zika Virus Infection in Martinique in 2016: A Prospective Study’, Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2017.
Fine P.E.M., ‘Ross’s a priori Pathometry – a Perspective’, Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine, 1975.
Ross R., ‘An Application of the Theory of Probabilities to the Study of a priori Pathometry – Part I’, Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 1916.
Clarke B., ‘The challenge facing first-time buyers’, Council of Mortgage Lenders, 2015.
Rogers E.M., Diffusion of Innovations, 3rd Edition (New York, 1983).
Bass F.M., ‘A new product growth for model consumer durables’, Management Science, 1969.
Bass F.M., Comments on ‘A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables’, Management Science, 2004.
Простая модель восприимчивых и зараженных Росса может быть записана следующим образом: dS/dt = —bSI, dI/dt = bSI, где b – скорость заражения. Максимальный прирост новых случаев заражения приходится на момент самого быстрого увеличения dI/dt, то есть когда вторая производная dI/dt равна нулю. Используя правило произведения, получаем: I = (3 – √3)/6 = 0,21.
Jackson A.C., ‘Diabolical effects of rabies encephalitis’, Journal of NeuroVirology, 2016.
Robinson A. et al., ‘Plasmodium-associated changes in human odor attract mosquitoes’, PNAS, 2018.
Van
